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Azerbaijan’s accession to the WTO - Assessing the macroeconomic consequences for the economy of Azerbaijan

45 pages , pdf
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Azerbaijan’s accession to the WTO -  Assessing the macroeconomic consequences for the economy of Azerbaijan

Publisher: Center for Economic & Social Development, Azerbaijan

Date: 2014

Volume: 45 pages , pdf

Description


This paper analyzes the macroeconomic consequences for Azerbaijan’s economy in case the country joins the World Trade Organization (WTO ). Existing studies primarily draw on qualitative methods, while for this study a Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model of the economy is calculated to simulate the consequences of WTO accession. The authors are able to generate numeric forecasts for macroeconomic variables as a measure for welfare and elaborate how WTO accession, interpreted as an external shock to the economy, would affect these variables. This study is, therefore, a unique contribution to the public and academic debate as it is the first study to quantitatively gauge the effects of accession beyond qualitative arguments.